Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 14.227190 16.264498 18.434952 20.913267 23.658451 26.599806 29.983241
2025-10-19 11.348040 14.098322 17.224080 21.016146 25.467334 30.501187 36.597861
2025-10-26 9.259332 12.285125 15.901770 20.496444 26.127478 32.750927 41.073502
2025-11-02 7.804639 10.965036 14.909981 20.120680 26.739171 34.777668 45.181379
2025-11-09 6.659684 9.862654 14.021820 19.710423 27.167437 36.480377 48.843573
2025-11-16 5.755473 8.955853 13.267091 19.354995 27.565953 38.078594 52.350693
2025-11-23 4.933364 8.059488 12.424101 18.779317 27.585378 39.125765 55.122481
2025-11-30 4.449700 7.590485 12.115858 18.883039 28.479792 41.307891 59.403903
2025-12-07 4.022162 7.154946 11.807576 18.943399 29.285835 43.368079 63.557685
2025-12-14 3.684262 6.819462 11.610106 19.132454 30.255863 45.658519 68.067655
2025-12-21 3.347796 6.448754 11.323277 19.156703 30.968886 47.593916 72.125232
2025-12-28 3.155623 6.295844 11.355886 19.652071 32.373707 50.528859 77.639929
2026-01-04 2.934860 6.075968 11.270195 19.964941 33.529419 53.163240 82.839843
2026-01-11 2.692983 5.793283 11.058538 20.060617 34.351314 55.332279 87.431161
2026-01-18 2.370438 5.327059 10.501694 19.560362 34.220862 56.083487 89.976388
2026-01-25 2.108025 4.943269 10.051765 19.198753 34.274814 57.089404 92.897559
2026-02-01 1.869728 4.578065 9.602712 18.804006 34.245197 57.950723 95.607663
2026-02-08 1.665017 4.255724 9.202602 18.462061 34.273664 58.885094 98.432707
2026-02-15 1.455150 3.895748 8.701749 17.908314 33.919101 59.201194 100.312586
2026-02-22 1.346202 3.741439 8.575771 18.008076 34.648332 61.220836 104.831789
2026-03-01 1.242173 3.585447 8.433284 18.066133 35.302572 63.132122 109.220938
2026-03-08 1.160166 3.470481 8.362081 18.247984 36.169798 65.400013 114.210069
2026-03-15 1.069190 3.322603 8.212147 18.271309 36.757426 67.226129 118.540720